For fundraising commitments already made
Is the commitment supportable by the deadline?
A projection estimates what your portfolio may produce. Evident Method asks a more exact question: whether it supports this commitment, by this date, under the limits your team actually works within.
If it falls short, the answer names the permitted changes that would be enough, and how long each one stays useful. People decide what happens next.
Shown on synthetic data, on one fictional campaign. Not yet tested on a real portfolio.
The projection cleared the commitment. What the portfolio could support did not.
| Commitment still to raise | $1,200,000 |
|---|---|
| Usual projection | $1,227,000 |
| Supportable by the deadline | $875,000 |
| Gap | $325,000 |
In a fictional campaign, the usual projection of $1,227,000 cleared the $1,200,000 still to raise. The amount supportable by the deadline was $875,000, a gap of $325,000.
Why the two numbers part ways
A projection can count a gift that is real and still not help in time.
Timing. A gift can be likely and still arrive after the deadline.
Staff time. The team has only so many hours for the asks the plan depends on.
Reliance on large gifts. One gift can carry more of the commitment than it safely should.
Experienced leaders weigh all three, often by judgment. Evident Method puts them into the answer itself, where others can see them.
What comes back
Yes. The portfolio supports the commitment under the limits that apply.
Not yet. Specific changes your team is permitted to make would be enough. Each has a last date it can still help.
No, within the options considered. The answer says what was considered. A no has a scope.
In the fictional campaign, the answer was not yet. Which changes, and by when, is what I walk through in conversation.
Who relies on the answer
The person carrying the number needs to know where it stands. The board approving it, the counsel advising it, and the lender or lead donor counting on it each need to see what it rests on.
Every answer carries its reasons, so the people relying on it can check them.
Where the work stands
Shown on synthetic data. A working demonstration on one fictional campaign finds the gap, the changes that would close it, and a scoped no.
Designed, not yet built. The answer for unresolved facts, and a fuller record of what each answer rests on.
Not yet tested. Real portfolios and comparison with experienced teams' current practice. Evident Method has not yet been used on a live commitment.
The person behind it
"I spent fifteen years with mid-level and major donors. I'm building Evident Method because the judgment behind a commitment deserves to be seen and checked."
Amanda Beyer, CAP®, CFRE
Founder
Test it against a commitment you know.
Choose one you led, advised or approved. One that went well is just as useful.
We'll talk through what was known, how it was judged and who relied on the answer. No donor records are needed for a first conversation.